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Defense Priorities – On the Wrong Path

By Jim Simpson 

Many say that in light of the end of the Cold War and the fall of the Soviet empire, weapons systems like the F-22 Raptor are just overpriced boondoggles. I am not knowledgeable enough to judge the relative merits of the F-22 over other technologies. I do know this however. Despite the “End of the Cold War” the Russians have continued to develop and field ever more expensive and sophisticated weapons.

The Topol M or SS-27 intercontinental ballistic missile is supposed to be the “last word” in missile technology. According to Wikipedia: “The missile is claimed by its designers to be immune to any planned US ABM defense. It is said to be capable of making evasive maneuvers to avoid a kill by terminal phase interceptors, and is likely to carry targeting countermeasures and decoys. It is shielded against radiation, EMP, nuclear blasts in distances less than 500 meters, and is designed to survive a hit from any laser technology.”

Do we have anything like that? And the many years we dawdled, debating the wisdom and legality of fielding an ABM system, the Russians quietly built their own.

Or what if our pilots had to fight the new MiG 33, which is contended to have superior flight and weapons system characteristics to the F-18 in virtually all categories? How about fifth generation fighters like the Sukhoi SU-37, or the SU-47, described by FlyMiG.com as having “far superior maneuvering in the air to any aircraft known to this date.”

This begs a number of questions. If, as they claim, the Soviet Union fell because we “outspent” them in military production, and forced them to go broke, how is it that they find the resources to produce such weapons? “Well, they cut back in different areas,” some respond. If this is true, then why are they in such dire need of Western financial assistance?

Forgive my cynicism please, but how can the Russians scream “poverty” while concurrently producing expensive weapons that military critics contend the vastly wealthier U.S. cannot afford? Are they so insensitive to the needs of their population that they would allow people to starve in order to produce Cold War hardware they no longer need? Well, they used to be that insensitive, but if that is still true, why are we helping them? If not, why do they need our financial assistance?

FlyMig.com claims the Su-37 and 47 have not been put into production because they don’t have the money. Do they know that for sure? If so, why develop a fighter you don’t need, since we’re all such good friends and all, when you can’t afford to produce it anyway? The foreign market is always an option, true, but do you want to sell hardware to potential enemies when you can’t afford the same or better for yourselves? And the market would be China. You remember China, the nice communists? The ones Nixon cleverly thought we could play off against the Soviets? Would the Russians trust them with their best hardware?

Others make the ludicrous claim that these big-ticket items were “already contracted”. They have obviously never been in business. If you go broke, you go broke. That means no resources, nada, nothing, zilch. Factories lay dormant, people are laid off, and creditors are stiffed. Contractors halt production, everything stops. It doesn’t matter if you are a totalitarian government either. You cannot compel production when you do not have the resources to make it happen. Sure, they can order people to work under threat of death, and/or resurrect the gulag system of the bad old days, but they still have to come up with the resources to finish the job. If the “Cold War” is over however, and we are no longer the enemy, why go to the trouble?

Still others dismiss these new weapons systems as coming from a quaint Russian desire to maintain “prestige” in the world. The Russians, so goes the argument, feel inadequate, so they must keep producing this stuff in order to feel equal to the Big Bad US of A. Sort of like an impotent man continually trying to demonstrate his manhood. Ignoring the financial argument for the moment, wouldn’t that make them more dangerous? There is nothing so dangerous, they say, as a wounded, cornered animal.

Almost every analyst has a different explanation for this Russian behavior. Each one is more logically implausible than the next. When no logical and factually sound consensus emerges, and none has, don’t you have to question all the analyses? For eighty years we operated on the assumption that the Soviet Union was our enemy. In a few short years we dismissed this as a foolish relic of Cold War thinking, the province of a few hardcore, fanatic right wing nuts. The Soviets were never really that dangerous—a paper tiger. All those killed in Korea, Vietnam and elsewhere, died for nothing. The Cambodian killing fields never happened. The 40 million murdered by the Soviet regime died only as a consequence of one fanatic nut: Josef Stalin. The 70 million killed by Mao? Well, to make an omelet...

And what about all the nuclear and biological weaponry floating around the now out-of-control Russia? Not to worry! The Russians have it under control! No need to develop countermeasures. No need to worry our pretty little heads about it. The State Department–that font of wisdom for the ages–will take care of things: they’ll go talk it over!

Put this together with the fact that the Russians continue to spy more aggressively on the U.S., continue to oppose us around the world, even if their opposition these days is better disguised, and the fact that the Russians have a virtually unbroken eighty-year record of deceit and treachery, wouldn’t it be just a bit prudent to treat them with some caution? Wouldn’t it be wise to “keep the powder dry” or “trust but verify”, as Reagan used to say?

Those who criticize our efforts to field an anti-ballistic missile system and modernize our weapons are often the same ones who championed the Soviet Union in the bad old days and today dismiss the Russians’ curious behavior. In their minds the Russians can do no wrong, while we in the U.S. can do no right. Are we supposed to follow their logic while the Russians (and now the Chinese too–thanks Bill!) have thousands of ICBMs pointed in our direction?

No. Hopefully not.

Here’s another logical mindbender. We pride ourselves on our technological prowess. Indeed, when confronted with questions about adequacy of our current force structure, military analysts, including our ever-optimistic outgoing Secretary of Defense, respond that U.S. technology will conquer all. “We don’t need a larger force; superior U.S. technology will win the day. We don’t need more modern weapon systems, technology will...” Wait a minute! How can we rely on our technological edge if we don’t invest to maintain it? You can’t cut back and grow at the same time! You can’t slash budgets for high tech weaponry then expect that rapidly changing, extremely capital intensive industrial base to sit around waiting for you to change your mind.

And what happens when that high tech stuff breaks, or the GPS guiding it all gets knocked out, or the batteries go dead? Where is our tiny, undermanned, under-gunned, under-protected force going to be then? Can a pilot, a captain, a tank commander today still navigate without GPS? Bet those skills are a bit rusty. No? Would you bet your life?

Indeed, in addition to obvious manpower shortages, the dark secret is that we may not be as technologically superior as we think. Oh sure, our high-tech weapons can easily wipe out a third-world dictator’s army, which uses 30-year-old tanks and Toyota trucks as APCs. But what happens if we have to come up against an army driving the new Russian T-90 or T-95? I have the answer for you: we don’t have a clue!

I bet it won’t be pretty.

Finally, the emphasis on high technology presumes a “smaller, nimbler” conventional force, but our weaknesses revealed in Iraq are all about unconventional warfare. In this type of battle, like so many of the threats we face today, technology is of little use without good intelligence. And our intelligence services, both military and civilian, are woefully short of good, qualified intelligence officers.

We must face facts. The world remains a dangerous place with many unknowns and hidden surprises. Pretending this isn’t so won’t make it go away.

In a world of finite resources we have to make hard choices: armor humvees or build a better APC? Fund the F-22 or make more capable drones? As we have seen, the consequences of our decisions can be counted in lives. But the fact that we did not have many armored humvees at the start of the Iraqi conflict does not automatically mean that we should have more. We should have at our fingertips the correct weapon system for the job.

The notion of America housing the Most Powerful Military Force in the World is plainly wishful thinking. It would almost be funny if it weren’t so terrifying. As Iraq has painfully revealed, we cannot even deploy sufficient forces for a medium-sized regional conflict. Never mind the “two regional conflicts” models posited in recent Quadrennial Defense Reviews, whether “simultaneous,” “nearly simultaneous,” “overlapping,” “one large and one smaller one,” “one soon to follow the other,” or other such absurd wordsmithing. The very fact that they had to come up with such creative scenarios shouts out our weakness. The enemy will not let us choose our favored scenario!

Did anyone imagine before OIF began that we’d also have to consider military action against Iran, Syria and North Korea at the same time? We couldn’t deal with any one of them right now. Our military is too small for the tasks it is currently being asked to perform, and for the conflicts it is likely to face in the near future. The arrogant, stubborn unwillingness to fully recognize our precarious position in the world will ultimately spell our demise as a nation.

The Soviet Union has been using a variant of the Cloward-Piven Strategy against us. This was a strategy dreamed up by two Columbia University sociologists, Richard Cloward and Frances Piven. Their idea was to place so many demands on the U.S. government that it would ultimately collapse, whereupon it could be taken over by socialists.

Cloward and Piven envisioned applying this strategy to our welfare system, demanding ever more programs until we went bankrupt. But the communists are applying this strategy by fomenting armed conflicts worldwide. On the one hand, their arming, training and motivating of “liberation” armies around the world is so pervasive, we would be hard-pressed to fight them all. On the other hand, if we don’t fight them, eventually they will reach our shores.

This state of affairs is hardly the time to be shrinking our force structure! We must face facts. We can continue to fight innumerable proxy wars around the globe until we are exhausted, smothered in debt, and overwhelmed, or we can go directly to the source of the problem. For this latter scenario however, we are woefully unprepared. Doing nothing is not an option, unless we have already resigned ourselves to losing, in which case we are all dead.

If we still intend to live, however, our military must grow, and grow exponentially. It must truly become what ignorant pundits say it is now: the greatest military force in the world.

The time is nigh. The alarm bells are sounding. We cannot go gentle into that goodnight.

Freelance writer Jim Simpson is a former White House staff economist and budget analyst (1987-1993). His writings have been published in the Washington Times, FrontPage Magazine, DefenseWatch online newsletter, Soldier of Fortune magazine, Military magazine and others.

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A Disaster of Epic Proportions

 
By Jim Simpson

On Tuesday, November 7th, the Democrats won what was really a tepid victory . They were forced to run conservatives and moderates in many districts in order to succeed, hardly a ringing endorsement for the liberal policies that are sure to come. Their margin of control in both houses is puny.

Just the same, this is the beginning of the end of our Constitutional Republic as we know it. My contempt for the stupidity of the American voter and the inept fecklessness of the Republican Party which allowed this to happen, knows no bounds. It is way past time for us to recognize that we have an active, widespread, domestic conspiracy – yes, conspiracy damn it – within our very own borders, whose purpose it is to destroy this country from within, as Lenin predicted.

Who on earth would deliberately vote to have their already heavy tax burden increased, especially when almost a century of experience demonstrates that government absorbs taxes like a sponge, grows endlessly when provided new resources, and produces little of value to show for it? Who on earth would deliberately hand our sworn enemies, who have stated and demonstrated repeatedly their determination to kill us all, virtually certain victory in a war they could not hope to win in the long term, if only we stayed the course? What baboon would do such a thing, deliberately? What moron??

The answer is people who have been so manipulated, so misled, so intimidated, so repeatedly lied to by Leftist media, academics and politicians, that they actually think they are doing the right thing.

Democrat Nancy Pelosi’s victory speech sounded nice and conciliatory. Everywhere, Democrat politicians are reassuring us that they want to work with Republicans and make it a “bipartisan” effort.

Let me tell you what is really in store. Democrats will, as usual, talk out of both sides of their mouths. While relentlessly pushing their radical leftist agenda, they will work overtime to simultaneously present a moderate image for these next two years, in an attempt to undermine any resurgent support for Republicans in 2008. They can depend on the media to shield them in this effort, and paint any Republican resistance to their agenda as “partisan gridlock.” All the while they will be working furiously in the background to consolidate their Congressional power and prepare for the victory of Hillary Clinton in 2008. And Hillary will be the Democrats’ candidate, mark my words.

I watched an interview last night with Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid. He was smiling; modest, self-effacing, even charming. Am I talking about the same man? He sounded so nice, so reassuring that the Dems wanted to “move forward in a bi-partisan spirit,” even I began to let my guard down. But barely a minute into the interview, he lied. He said that even the military wanted change in Iraq, and cited as evidence, the opinions of Army Times, Air Force Times, Navy Times and Marine Corps Times. But he knows that these publications are owned by the very liberal Gannet News. They are not associated with the military in any way, but are instead yet another example of the Left trying to insinuate itself into an organization with a known reputation so it can manipulate public opinion by presenting itself as something it isn’t. So my final thought before switching off the TV in disgust, was, “It starts already.”

Democrats won this election by trumpeting Republican failures, some of which unfortunately were real. But many were mere perceptions, assiduously developed over the years by the Democrats’ silent partners in the mass media, especially as regards the Iraq war. Everything from WMD and the al Qaeda connections to behavior of our troops in the field, has been shamelessly lied about, distorted and attacked to an unprecedented degree by Western media. How does the voting public, most of whom of necessity spend their waking hours earning a living, get the facts, when most of the news sources they have time to consult relentlessly serve up the same lies and distortions?

The Democrats also won by offering up moderate and even conservative candidates. This was a clever ruse, and my prediction is that it will continue in the further cultivation of these newly elected dupes as the “new face” of the Democrat party. But to give you an idea of how these “moderates” will really fare, one only needs review the career of Senator Joseph Lieberman.

It’s astounding that people would fall for this, mere months after Lieberman was savagely attacked and unceremoniously dumped by the party he served faithfully for 18 years, simply because he took a reasonable (i.e. not radical Left) position on the war. But even this is nothing new.

You might not remember, but Lieberman initially campaigned as a conservative Democrat alternative to the widely despised liberal Republican senator, Lowell Weicker. He actually received the endorsement of William F. Buckley’s National Review, and Buckley started a tongue-in-cheek movement called “Buckleys for Lieberman.” He was only half-kidding. Lieberman got many republican votes on the strength of Buckley’s endorsement.

A major plank in Lieberman’s campaign was his opposition to the minimum wage, then being proposed in a bill sponsored by Ted Kennedy. Immediately following his election, Lieberman was forced to be spokesman for Kennedy’s bill. This was his first task as a newly minted Senator and rendered forever irrelevant any campaign promises he made to legislate as a conservative. He never criticized the minimum wage again. Nary a peep.

The Dems will be a little slicker this time. The newbies will likely get visibility as the “new face” of the Democrat party. But just as Bill Clinton created the moderate Democrat Leadership Council to make himself appear more centrist, and then completely ignored them once elected, when push comes to shove, these moderate and conservative voices will be given the choice of playing ball with the Leftists, or being put out to pasture to graze like the dull-witted cows they are. Most, like Lieberman, will play ball.

Republicans meanwhile, will assume they failed because of the conservative agenda, so they will try to "moderate" to please hostile Democrats. This is the very worst thing they can do. But it’s easier than facing the facts: that they were gutless and self-serving, and abandoned the conservative principles that got them elected in the first place and would have kept them there if they had been faithful to those principles as their campaigns promised! So now they will go along to get along, relegating the Party to second class status like it had for the fifty years prior to 1994.

The Dems will finally succeed in obtaining their socialist designs when maximum leader Hillary Clinton is elected in 2008. Don’t just expect more liberal tripe from her though. No, this time it will be for keeps. For Hillary is not a merely leftist in the mold of Nancy Pelosi, or a boob like Ted Kennedy. She, like her odious husband, is the genuine article: a died-in-the-wool Soviet-sympathizing communist, trained early on in the methods, tactics and goals of the communist party by her mentor, Robert Truehaft, a longtime member of the American Communist Party. How am I sure Hillary is a communist? Because true communists don't waste their time on non-communists. For Hillary to be put under the wing of an old diehard like Truehaft, she had to have already demonstrated a firm commitment to the party and then shown herself to be worthy of his tutelage.

This explains her effectiveness, and also her ability to intimidate. She has an army of nameless, faceless volunteers to call upon in times of need - at no cost, who will perform any task, legal or illegal, up to and including murder. She has a tactical shrewdness with all the hallmarks of a practiced communist. Her hand can be seen in many of the duplicitous tactics witnessed during this campaign. But as the Dems’ own 2000 campaign platform cheered: “You ain’t seen nothing yet!” Ann Coulter called them the “Treason Party.” When Hillary becomes President, the true dimensions of that moniker will become apparent.

Think whatever you like of my assertions above. But the Democrat party really does have diabolical plans for us. You may have read my recent post on American Daughter regarding ACORN. Review it here. A history of ACORN is provided here. The most important element in this post is the discussion of the Cloward-Piven Strategy. The central tenet of this strategy is “to hasten the fall of capitalism by overloading the government bureaucracy with a flood of impossible demands, thus pushing society into crisis and economic collapse.”

This is the tack Democrats have taken in pushing us toward a nationalized health system. Through marginal changes in health law, the current system has gradually become so overburdened, inefficient and expensive, that almost everyone is clamoring for the Feds to do something. Trouble is, they have been doing something already, and we are witnessing the result. If you think it’s bad now, wait until you get Hillarycare.

And this is just one issue. There are parallel tracks creating similar chaos in practically every other area of government. Think of the environmentalist movement, with its multi-tiered strategy of attack through the courts, regulation, and environmental terrorism. Reflect on how leftist innovation in tort litigation is creating chaos in the courts and destroying domestic industries one at a time. Consider what the Clintons did to the military during their previous reign. At the same time they were cutting defense budgets and personnel to the bone, the Clinton Administration sent our forces on arduous extended “peacekeeping” and “nationbuilding” exercises for which they were not trained, which left them exhausted to the breaking point, and their equipment run into the ground. At the same time the Clintons pushed the envelope on all sorts of new social experiments using the military as a test tube. Some dismiss this as merely another example of leftists trying to impose loopy ideas, but the effect was to practically burst the military apart at its seams. I think Bill Clinton knew exactly what he was doing.

Some have minimized our loss with ritual reassurances: we’ll get it back in a few years; now we’ll be more motivated for 2008; look what happened after Jimmy Carter got his four years, etc. But what people don’t realize is the landscape has fundamentally shifted. It is not so much that the fundamental conservatism of the American people has changed. It hasn’t. What has changed permanently is the tactical competence of the left in its massive, coordinated efforts to delude the electorate. For the left, being two-faced, sleazy, treacherous, dishonest and duplicitous, to the borders of criminality and beyond, is nothing new. For them it is not a character flaw, it is an electoral strategy. And today that strategy has proved a resounding success.

Shame on us, shame on the Democrat Party. Shame on America! We will get what we deserve. But don't say I didn't warn you!
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Time to Face Facts

By Jim Simpson

I have skirted around the following subject for years, either because I was focused on some small subset of it, or because I did not feel the message would be accepted. I no longer care. We are teetering at the abyss, and bold action is required if we are to save ourselves. It’s way past time for a reality check, so here it is, late, but better late than never:

  1. We all know that Ahmadinejad, Bin Laden and other terror leaders past and present would never strap on a suicide belt themselves, although they encourage others to. So maybe they’re not quite as committed to Allah as they would have us believe.
  2. We know that suicide belts and other media-focused tactics used by Muslim terrorists are nothing new. Anyone familiar with the Vietnam conflict, for example, knows of the suicide bomber, targeting of civilians, kidnapping, torture, dismemberment and mass murder. These are standard Soviet tactics in use for decades.
  3. We know that the Soviets have been arming and training “Jihadists” since the 1950s and probably before.
  4. We know that the PLO was a creation of the Soviet KGB and that communists invented the “Palestinian” cause as an excuse to prosecute their war against the West with surrogates by attacking its critical regional representative, Israel.
  5. We know that many key members of al Qaeda are professional, Soviet-trained Baluchi terrorists, not Muslims. How could a supposed purist like Osama Bin Laden allow such infidels to assume leadership positions in his ardently Muslim al Qaeda?
  6. We know that Russia actively supports Iran, Syria and the Ba’athist dominated resistance in Iraq, i.e. Muslim and non-Muslim alike. (For those of you who wonder what I mean by non-Muslim here, Syria’s and Iraq’s Ba’athists are non-Muslim communist atheists, prayer rugs notwithstanding!)
  7. We know that in 1991, the Soviet Union “spontaneously” collapsed and that its leaders, who remain in power to this day, suddenly, independently, at precisely the same moment, inexplicably transformed into… Democrats!
  8. We know through public statements made in 1991 by Soviet representatives on U.S. television that this event was, in the Soviets’ own words, a “deny your enemy an enemy” tactic, taken directly from the pages of Sun Tzu’s Art of War – the inspiration of most Soviet military doctrine. Gorbachev himself used these exact words, in a seminar held at the Heritage Foundation a few years ago.

In short, the Soviet Union never fell. It transformed its appearance dramatically, but only superficially, in a shrewd strategic move that tricked Western policy makers into unilateral disarmament. Democrats rejoiced at the excuse this “victory” provided to gut our military, while Republicans rejoiced at being able to take credit for “winning” the Cold War. Both parties rejoiced about spending the elusive “peace dividend” and dismissed shouts of warning from those few analysts willing to make them. We declared ourselves the winner and went home, neither party daring to risk even a cursory examination of the circumstances surrounding this surprise event, for fear of what the blatantly obvious must force them to confront.

Policy makers seem to live in a never-never land of fanciful imagination that willfully ignores the continued march of communism across the globe, with countries falling under its spell at, if anything, an increased rate. Communism is dead, but Venezuela and Bolivia recently fell to communist regimes. Looks like ole Danny Boy Ortega may be making a comeback in Nicaragua too. Communism died, but Columbia has a vibrant communist insurgency, as does Nepal, Sri Lanka, Thailand and many other countries. Communist China refuses to go away, as do Cuba and North Korea, where rumors of those regimes’ impending demise have been, as usual, greatly exaggerated.

After the “fall” of communism, communists consolidated their control of Angola when we declared ourselves the “victors” and abandoned Jonas Savimbi’s anticommunist guerillas in the field, only to see them utterly wiped out shortly thereafter. The same communist Angolan government remains in power today. Rashid Dostum, a key leader of Afghanistan’s “Northern Alliance” is, and always has been, Russia’s man in Afghanistan. He was left there in charge of the Soviet-backed Afghan Army after the Soviets went home and continued to wreak havoc until the Taliban chased him out. In yet another demonstration of our interminable brilliance, American policy makers allowed him to become Deputy Defense Minister in the new Karzai government, guaranteeing a behind-the-scenes Soviet Communist role in Afghanistan’s future.

In short, since the so-called "fall" of the Soviet Union, communist movements have, if anything, blossomed. And nowhere is the resilient strength of the communist movement more apparent than here at home, where communist inspired ideas and spokespeople dominate the media, educational establishments, churches, civic organizations and politics. It’s high time we recognized that these people are our enemies!

With Islamic Jihad, the Soviet Union found the ideal vehicle to continue its war with the West, while continuing to uphold the myth of their demise. A large population of ignorant, unemployed, discouraged, disenfranchised, naïve Muslim youths has provided fertile ground for recruitment into what can only be described as the consummate false flag operation. Jihadists believe they are fighting to create a worldwide Muslim Caliphate, because they are recruited by Hezbollah, Hamas, al Qaeda and other recognized Muslim terror groups. But in fact they are doing the dirty work of the Soviets, just as countless surrogates have in the past.

It is no coincidence that North Korea chooses this time to provoke the West with nuclear tests, while Iran flouts world demands to halt nuclear research and Muslim terrorists everywhere threaten the West. These provocations are a deception we have bought, guaranteeing that when the time arrives, our eyes will be riveted on the wrong enemy. And I feel that time is approaching fast. The Soviets are moving to reassert themselves on the world stage. We cannot hope to win if we don’t even know who the enemy is. We must recognize this, NOW!

Do we have a fighting chance? I am not optimistic in any circumstances, but of one thing I am certain. Our chances will drop to virtually zero if in next week’s Midterm elections, we choose Democrats to run Congress. While Republican leaders have not been everything we would like, they do remain responsive, and many are at least aware that we are under threat. Also, Republican philosophy is by nature more open to new ideas.

By contrast, the Democrats are forcefully determined to impose their Socialist agenda on us. This agenda has shown itself to be an unqualified failure despite fifty years and countless trillions of taxpayer dollars worth of effort—ample time and resources for it to prove otherwise. Furthermore, many of these same people are working—covertly and some not so covertly—to bring about the very communist victory the Soviets have sought since 1917. Calling them the “Treason Party” as Ann Coulter has, is scarcely an exaggeration.

We may no longer be able to strangle the Bolshevik baby in its crib, as Winston Churchill so colorfully recommended long ago, but we can at least temporarily forestall its metastasized descendants in the Democrat party from wreaking more havoc than they already have. Vote Republican this November 7th!

Freelance writer Jim Simpson is a former White House staff economist and budget analyst (1987-1993). His writings have been published in the Washington Times, FrontPage Magazine, DefenseWatch online newsletter, Soldier of Fortune magazine, Military magazine and others. You may read this and other articles by Mr. Simpson on his blog Truth and Consequences.

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